The UK government's help to buy scheme aims to kick start the housing market by providing taxpayer-funded assistance to home-buyers. Individuals who can only afford to put down a 5% deposit on a house can receive a loan from the government for 20% of the property's value. From the start of 2014, the government will offer a taxpayer-funded guarantee to mortgage lenders who offer mortgages worth up to 95% of a property's value. The scheme has already come in for criticism and may have been behind recent rises in the property market (click here). Many economists fear that the scheme will simply result in another credit-fueled housing bubble, which will further weaken the financial system.
My colleague and former PhD student Gareth Campbell has created a website about the British Railway Mania - click here . This episode has been described by the Economist as probably the greatest bubble in human history. Gareth's website provides background on the Mania and posits some explanations for the 'bubble'. In his explanation of why the bubble happened, Gareth places a lot of emphasis on investor myopia regarding future dividends and uncalled capital. His study of investors during the episode does not support the view that this episode was fuelled by naive and irrational investors.
