The EU is looking to China to help with its financial mess. Although this says all sorts of things about Europe’s view of itself as superpower, the more interesting issue is why China is prepared to do this. Several theories abound. First, China’s economic miracle has a lot to do with export-led growth, and the EU is one of China’s main markets. If the EU implodes, this will have major consequences for China. Second, as part of it export-led growth policy, China holds huge reserves of foreign currencies and financial assets in order to keep the yuan undervalued. It therefore has reserves to invest, and European bonds may provide a good return if underpinned by German guarantees. Third, and possibly most worrying for global stability, is that China sees itself as a world superpower and wants to extend its soft power and influence by helping the EU.
My colleague and former PhD student Gareth Campbell has created a website about the British Railway Mania - click here . This episode has been described by the Economist as probably the greatest bubble in human history. Gareth's website provides background on the Mania and posits some explanations for the 'bubble'. In his explanation of why the bubble happened, Gareth places a lot of emphasis on investor myopia regarding future dividends and uncalled capital. His study of investors during the episode does not support the view that this episode was fuelled by naive and irrational investors.