HML released figures at the weekend which show that the number of households in the UK with negative equity (i.e., the value of mortgage is greater than value of house) is 463,415 - about 8% of mortgages (BBC coverage here). This figure has almost halved since 2011, largely due to the increase in property prices across the UK. However, the picture looks bleak for Northern Ireland, which had the largest property market crash in the UK. 68,000 households are in negative equity - or 41% of mortgages. These figures reveal how vulnerable the economic recovery is to a further correction in the housing market.
My colleague and former PhD student Gareth Campbell has created a website about the British Railway Mania - click here . This episode has been described by the Economist as probably the greatest bubble in human history. Gareth's website provides background on the Mania and posits some explanations for the 'bubble'. In his explanation of why the bubble happened, Gareth places a lot of emphasis on investor myopia regarding future dividends and uncalled capital. His study of investors during the episode does not support the view that this episode was fuelled by naive and irrational investors.